Fire SlimesTier 1
at IanTCG Regional
decks
3
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
7-6-2
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311
· median 1281
· range 1189–1464
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1078
Q1 1200
Q3 1409
1520
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.2% | -8.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.7% | -1.7 |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
